000 03289nam a22005055i 4500
001 978-3-662-48959-8
003 DE-He213
005 20190313085151.0
007 cr nn 008mamaa
008 160409s2016 gw | s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9783662489598
_9978-3-662-48959-8
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
_2doi
050 4 _aTA1-2040
072 7 _aTN
_2bicssc
072 7 _aTEC009020
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a624
_223
100 1 _aGettelman, Andrew.
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aDemystifying Climate Models
_h[electronic resource] :
_bA Users Guide to Earth System Models /
_cby Andrew Gettelman, Richard B. Rood.
264 1 _aBerlin, Heidelberg :
_bSpringer Berlin Heidelberg :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2016.
300 _aXVII, 274 p. 62 illus., 58 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aEarth Systems Data and Models,
_x2364-5830 ;
_v2
505 0 _aIntroduction.-Components of the Climate System -- Climate Change and Global Warming -- Essence of a Climate Model -- Simulating the Atmosphere -- Simulating the Ocean and Sea Ice -- Simulating Terrestrial Systems -- Bringing the System Together: Coupling and Complexity -- Model Evaluation -- Predictability -- Results of Current Models -- Usability of Climate Model Projections by Practitioners -- Summary and Final Thoughts.
506 0 _aOpen Access
520 _aThis book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
650 0 _aEngineering.
650 0 _aClimate change.
650 0 _aCivil engineering.
650 0 _aEnvironmental sciences.
650 1 4 _aEngineering.
650 2 4 _aCivil Engineering.
650 2 4 _aClimate Change Management and Policy.
650 2 4 _aMath. Appl. in Environmental Science.
700 1 _aRood, Richard B.
_eauthor.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783662489574
830 0 _aEarth Systems Data and Models,
_x2364-5830 ;
_v2
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
912 _aZDB-2-EES
999 _c48592
_d48592